After posting a franchise-best 12-4 record during the 2002 regular season, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers went on to win their first championship with a 48-21 romp over the Oakland Raiders in Super Bowl XXXVII. However, the Buccaneers, who went 7-9 in 2003, made the playoffs just twice over their next 17 seasons before defeating the Kansas City Chiefs 31-9 in Super Bowl LV last February. Tampa Bay will hope to avoid another letdown this season, which begins when they host the Dallas Cowboys on Thursday in the 2021 NFL Kickoff Game.
Kickoff from Raymond James Stadium is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Tampa Bay is an 8.5-point favorite in the latest Cowboys vs. Buccaneers odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 51.5. Before making any Buccaneers vs. Cowboys picks, make sure to check out the expert NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters the 2021 season on an incredible 120-78 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has simulated Buccaneers vs. Cowboys in the NFL Kickoff Game 2021 10,000 times and just revealed its NFL expert picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting trends for Cowboys vs. Bucs:
- Cowboys vs. Buccaneers spread: Tampa Bay -8.5
- Cowboys vs. Buccaneers over-under: 51.5 points
- Cowboys vs. Buccaneers money line: Dallas +340, Tampa Bay -440
- DAL: Cowboys were a league-worst 5-11 against the spread last season
- TB: Buccaneers were 0-5 ATS in primetime games last year, including playoffs
Why the Buccaneers can cover
Despite guiding the New England Patriots to a 12-4 record and their 11th consecutive AFC East title in 2019, his final season with the team he led to nine Super Bowl appearances and six championships, Tom Brady had very little offensive help. The future Hall-of-Famer had no such problem in his first year with Tampa Bay and won't in 2021 either, as all of the team's top skill players are back.
The Buccaneers had the second-best passing offense in the NFL last season (289.1 yards) and ranked third in scoring (30.8 points). Wide receiver Mike Evans made a career-high 13 touchdown catches in 2020, while Chris Godwin, who missed four games, and Rob Gronkowski, who ended a one-year retirement after spending his first nine NFL seasons with Brady in New England, had seven apiece.
A five-time Super Bowl MVP, Brady also has another weapon in seven-time Pro Bowler Antonio Brown, who hauled in four scoring passes in only eight regular-season contests and two more in the playoffs.
Why the Cowboys can cover
Dallas focused on improving its defense during the 2021 NFL Draft, its first six selections were defensive players. The Cowboys will expect game-changing plays from Micah Parsons, even though it's believed the linebacker from Penn State only was taken with the 12th overall pick after top two cornerbacks on Dallas' wish list already were off the board. The 22-year-old Parsons opted out of the 2020 season due to the coronavirus pandemic, but registered 191 tackles and 6.5 sacks over 26 games in his two campaigns with the Nittany Lions.
Parsons possesses size, great range and quick feet, which new defensive coordinator Dan Quinn hopes will allow him to complement DeMarcus Lawrence on the pass rush with Aldon Smith (five sacks in 2020) no longer around.
Another draft pick who could help bring down opposing quarterbacks is Osa Odighizuwa, who was selected out of UCLA in the third round. The defensive tackle was second on the Bruins in 2020 with four sacks in seven games and third with six tackles for loss en route to being a first-team All-Conference selection in the Pac-12.
How to make Cowboys vs. Buccaneers picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 59 points. It also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. Head to SportsLine to see its NFL picks.
So who wins Buccaneers vs. Cowboys? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see the Cowboys vs. Buccaneers picks, all from the model that has returned almost $7,900 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.
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